Trabzonspor vs Fethiyespor: Türkiye Cup Match Preview – 3 Feb 2026

Introduction: Why this match matters

The Türkiye Cup Group Stage fixture between Trabzonspor and Fethiyespor at Papara Park on 3 February 2026 attracts attention for its potential impact on Group A standings and form momentum. With modelled probabilities and recent results available, the contest is useful for readers tracking cup progression, betting markets and team form ahead of the next round.

Main analysis and key facts

Match details

Date: 3 February 2026.
Venue: Papara Park (Trabzon).
Competition: Türkiye Cup, Group Stage.

Modelled probability and likely outcomes

Available data analysis indicates a very strong likelihood of a Trabzonspor victory. One summary line reports the most likely outcome with a probability of 97%. More granular model outputs show several Trabzonspor win probabilities in the same dataset (examples: 74.97%, 74.29% and 56.05% from different metrics), reflecting strong favoured status for the home side across multiple measures.

Goal and scoreline probabilities

The dataset includes goal-range probabilities pointing to a modest scoring expectation: Under 2.5 goals is estimated at around 43.36% in one set of figures, while other Trabzonspor-specific goal probabilities indicate under 2.5 at 59.91% and under 3.5 at 80.08% in a separate breakdown. Predicted specific scorelines with non-trivial probabilities include 2-0 (12.68%), 1-0 (12.61%) and 3-1 (6.81%). These figures suggest a single-sided match leaning toward a narrow-to-moderate Trabzonspor victory rather than a high-scoring shootout.

Recent form and context

Recent results for Trabzonspor listed in the data show steady form: Antalyaspor 1-1 (30 Jan 2026), Trabzonspor 2-1 Kasımpaşa (23 Jan), Kocaelispor 1-2 Trabzonspor (18 Jan) and Istanbulspor 1-6 Trabzonspor (14 Jan). Head-to-head entries in the supplied material show no recent recorded H2H matches in the snippet provided.

Conclusion: What to expect

Based on the supplied analysis, Trabzonspor enter this Türkiye Cup tie as clear favourites and are the most probable winners according to the available models. Forecasts point to a likely home victory with modest goal totals (common predicted scorelines 1-0 or 2-0). For readers, the match is significant for group-stage positioning and for confirming Trabzonspor’s cup form; bettors and followers should weigh the high probability favouring Trabzonspor and the lower likelihood of a high-scoring game when assessing markets.